Drop in Oil Prices Due to Geopolitical Tensions and Prospects of Increased Supply

Oil Prices Drop Amid Anticipation of U.S.-Iran Discussions
On Tuesday, global oil prices experienced a decline amid expectations of potential discussions between the United States and Iran, discussions that could impact the supply flows from the Middle East.
Decrease in Brent and WTI
Specifically, the price of Brent crude for June delivery fell by 0.8%, or 77 cents, settling at $94.71 a barrel. Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil (with a May contract nearing expiration) dropped by 1.85%, or $1.66, reaching $87.95 a barrel, under pressure from rising supply expectations and geopolitical developments.
The Strategic Role of the Strait of Hormuz
According to estimates from Citi Bank, a prolonged disruption of maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz for another month could result in a loss of approximately 1.3 billion barrels of supply. Such a scenario could push oil prices as high as $110 a barrel in the second quarter of 2026, as reported by Reuters.
Markets Watchful of U.S. Stock Reports
Investors are also eagerly awaiting the release of the American Petroleum Institute (API) report on crude oil stocks, which will be followed on Wednesday by official data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
These indicators are expected to play a crucial role in determining short-term price trends in a market that is particularly sensitive to supply and demand dynamics.


